Good Sense on Economics, Adaptation, Complexity and Evolution
William Peakin,
business correspondent, author of the ‘Evolution of Wealth” in “Holyrood”,
Scotland’s fortnightly political and current affairs magazine covering issues
debated at the Scottish parliament in Edinburgh, manages to cover this broader
debate in an informed manner that shames the narrow, blinkered focus of many of our
leading economists in US and Europe in a short article “Evolution of Wealth”, “We need to rethink the meaning of work,
consumption and prosperity” HERE
Comment
This is quite the
most perceptive short article I have read on the current debate among
economists on how a market economy operates, ‘warts and all’ as Oliver Cromwell
might have put it.
It addresses a basic
problem for modern and classical economists on the nature of markets and how
they were analysed by neo-classical and post neo-classical modern economists.
Peakin reports how Eric
Beinhocker, executive director of a joint research programme between the
Institute for New Economic Thinking and Oxford University, recalls “sitting in
a thatched hut, leaning against a wall made of dung, talking to a group of
Maasai tribesmen. They were feeling sorry for the former venture capitalist and
McKinsey & Company consultant because he had told them he had no cattle.
But they were also bewildered; how could this poor man afford to travel and own
a camera?”
From analysing the
importance of such natural misconceptions and their clarifications, Beinhocker suggests
that “Modern evolutionary theorists believe that, like gravity, evolution is a
universal phenomenon, meaning that no matter whether the algorithm is running
in the substrate of biological DNA, a computer program, the economy, or in the
substrate of an alien biology on a distant planet, evolution will follow
certain general laws in its behaviour.
“If the economy is
truly an evolutionary system, and there are general laws of evolutionary
systems, then it follows that there are general laws of economics – a
controversial notion for many.
“Saying that there
are laws of economics does not imply that we will ever be able to make perfect
predictions about the economy, but it does imply that we might someday have a
far deeper understanding of economic phenomena than we do today.”
These ideas were
preceded by a remarkable transformation from the regular lives of humans in the
open savannah: the discovery of value, not measured in pounds, pence or
dollars, but in what the products of human labour, including endeavour, enabled
humans to do. All human
history, including the long, very long, pre-history story of the
creative blessing of the use of valued items, ideas, and their accessibility to
every widening numbers of others besides their creators.
What William Peakin,
business correspondent, author of the ‘Evolution of Wealth” in “Holyrood”,
Scotland’s fortnightly political and current affairs magazine covering issues
debated at the Scottish parliament in Edinburgh, manages to cover this broader
debate, in an informed manner that shames the narrow focus of many of our
leading economists in US and Europe.
Certainly, his
presentation of the post-classical theorists on complex, adaptive systems,
recently discussed on Lost Legacy, and, more thoroughly, in David Simpson’s
“The Rediscovery of ClassIcal Economics: adaptation. Complexity and
growth” (Edward Elgar) 2013, is a welcome gale of good sense.
I cannot recommend
too highly that you follow the link and read it (and pass it round). William
Peakin deserves acclamation for his perceptive presentation of Eric Beinhocker’s
ideas, particularly from my own vantage point, because he does not mention anything
about the mythical “invisible hand” nonsense that is the usual resort of the mystics
dominating our profession!
2 Comments:
Beinhocker doesn't mention the invisible hand but he does mention 'phenomena'.
I don't remember Adam Smith using the word phenomenon but in using the IH metaphor that is what he was referring to, a phenomenon, something that was difficult to discern or explain. Otherwise the invisible hand would not be invisible, but visible.
Gavin,
You may be interested in this, then: http://phys.org/news176365278.html
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