Respect the Integrity of History - Don't Rewrite it
Daniel Kuehn
in “Facts and Other Stubborn Things” HERE
"...the
notion that a social system moved by independent actions in pursuit of
different values is consistent with a final coherent state of balance, and one
in which the outcomes may be quite different from those intended by the agents,
is surely the most important intellectual contribution that economic thought
has made to the general understanding of social processes. [Adam] Smith also
perceived the most important implication of general equilibrium theory, the
ability of a competitive system to achieve an allocation of resources that is
efficient in some sense. Nothing resembling a rigorous argument for, or even a
careful statement of the efficiency propositions can be found in Smith, however" Arrow
and Hahn, 1971.
Arrow of
course proceeds to provide some efficiency propositions that most economists
would find relevant to think about, and he rigorously demonstrates the point
that individuals pursuing their own interests can generate beneficial results
for society in a system of market exchange. Adam Smith took an enormous step
forward and provided arguments that had been fairly convincing. Walras, Arrow,
Hahn, Debreu, etc. picked up where Smith left off. I'm sure they found Smith's
arguments plenty convincing, but they were nevertheless able to provide new
arguments - and they did.
Is Arrow's
efficiency criteria Smith's? No, of course not. They didn't even talk about
"efficiency criteria" back then and Pareto hadn't even been born
yet (much less Kaldor or Hicks). To point out that this is not precisely how
Adam Smith addressed the question misses the point. We don't want to keep
providing the same answer, we want to make this Smithian channel of thought
deeper, broader, and stronger.
Are the
parameters of Arrow's inquiry exactly the same as Smith's? No, of course
not. The analytical toolbox gave primacy to some assumptions and made others
less relevant. In the end Arrow did not speak to all that Smith spoke to, and
vice versa. But again, we don't want to keep providing the same answer in
science. We want to take a good answer and make it deeper, broader, and
stronger. And that's what Arrow did.
Mark Blaug
has called this a "travesty", but Mark Blaug seems to think Arrow's
citation of Smith indicates that Arrow thought he was reproducing Smith's
argument as opposed to doing constructive work in the same channel of thought.
Mark Blaug is a historian of thought, but in calling Arrow's citation of
Smith a "travesty" he demonstrates that tendency that we
all succumb to sometimes when we hold a hammer: the tendency to see
nails everywhere.
… The
suggestion that he is not moving forward Smithian economics because his framing
of the issue is not identical to Smith's seems to miss the whole point of
"moving forward Smithian economics" to me. The most important element
here is that private choices in market exchange are socially beneficial. Arrow
has that. The idea that he brings in certain efficiency criteria and
assumptions to talk rigorously about this phenomenon doesn't change the fact
that he's doing Smithian economics. Smithian economics is about the heart of
the theory, not the minutiae of approaching the question that change over time.
On the flip side, the idea that Arrow is not moving forward Smithian economics
because he only provided his answer to a relatively restricted case is
laughable. You try to do better if you are tempted to throw this at him. I know
I can't!
Comment
Daniel
Kuehn’s presentation of the issues raised by Arrow and Hahn’s contributions to
General Equilibrium theory for Adam Smith’s contribution is misleading.
“To point out that this is not precisely
how Adam Smith addressed the question misses the point. We don't want to keep
providing the same answer, we want to make this Smithian channel of thought
deeper, broader, and stronger” Adding: Arrow and Hahn “picked up where Smith
left off” and repeats the mantra about making Smith “deeper, broader, and stronger”.
In general I have no problem with 20th/21st
century economists advancing analytical science, for which they deservedly
receive the accolades of Nobel Prizes.
My objection is when they link their
work in general equilibrium and Pareto’s Welfare theorem directly to Adam
Smith’s use of the metaphor of “an invisible hand”. This leads to misleading
associations of Adam Smith authority with modern views of how economic
processes work.
On the association of the invisible
hand, see Arrow (1987): “The profoundest observation of Smith”; Arrow and Hahn
(1971): “surely the most important contribution of economic thought”; Tobin, (1992): “one of the great ideas of history and one of the most influential”, and
Samuelson (1976): who introduced his readers (and their tutors) to the notion
that general equilibrium redefined the “the humble Invisible Hand
doctrine”.
These
attributions to Smith on the back of modern work are misleading. They are now
endemic in public commentary by economists. They make a “doctrine” out of a
grammatical metaphor, giving its metaphoric role a completely doctrinal role well
beyond its role in Smith’s work. For Smith it was a metaphor, not a doctrine. Mark Blaug was right to describe it as a "travesty".
That
“private choices in market exchange” can be “socially beneficial” is true. Smith said as much. He also noted in Wealth Of Nations over
70 instances (not including the withering critiques contained in Book IV of WN) in
which “private choices” specifically not beneficial to the “public good” (such as
monopolies, mercantile policies, tariffs and such like). Nobody wants answers to remain the same in
science, but in respect of Smith’s work in the 18th century, his answers for him stubbornly remain the same.
Modern authors should respect the historical integrity of Smith’s work.
3 Comments:
re: "My objection is when they link their work in general equilibrium and Pareto’s Welfare theorem directly to Adam Smith’s use of the metaphor of “an invisible hand”."
OK, but I didn't say it was linked directly. In fact I made quite a point of saying that We can't say that Smith was doing what Pareto was doing.
What we can say is that they were thinking about the same issues.
You also ought to highlight for your readers that I was careful to talk about "Smithian economics" rather than the "invisible hand theorem" or something like that. I'm well aware Smith's use of "the invisible hand" was not what everyone thinks it was. That doesn't change the fact that Smithian economics is about the possibility of public benefit from private self-interest: precisely what Arrow and Hahn were working on.
You and I disagree on one thing: how much it matters that people have taken to calling that "the invisible hand". So long as people aren't making claims like "when Smith used this phrase he meant X", I can't see how it matters that much - it's just an ironic, completely inconsequential misappropriation of a phrase.
We genuinely disagree on that.
But I think you are over-interpreting the rest of what I said about Arrow and Hahn.
Daniel,
Nice to hear from you and clarify aspects of what you meant where you consIder I was being unfair. That was not my intention and I apologise if you believe I was.
Elsewhere in other posts on Lost Legacy I have shown that Smith did not make a general statement that public benefit arose from self-interested actions by merchants and others. That opulence was a general benefit as an alternative to abject poverty was suggested to his readers. But self-interests could also work against public benefits. For example, in self-interested actions by merchants in favour of narrowing competition, protection and tariffs, monopolies, 'conspiring to raise prices'. Also when landowners used primogeniture laws and entails to control inheritances, when sovereigns raised taxes or borrowing to fight dynastic wars.
The IH metaphor in WN was a very narrow case of some but not all merchants from their insecurity who invested domestically which added to "domestic revenue and employment" and benefitted the public. It was not a general statement of public benefits arising from all private self-interests, let alone anything remotely akin to the GE proposition of Pareto. That is an idea credited Smith 2 centuries after him. People today credit Smith so as to give the completely artificial imagination of GE authority.
Those are my points.
Gavin
Daniel
An addendum:
"Smith also perceived the most important implication of general equilibrium theory, the ability of a competitive system to achieve an allocation of resources that is efficient in some sense."
Smith's actual use of the IH metaphor was about an arithmetical consequence of investment in domestic industry rather than in foreign trade. An economy consists of investment in both domestic and foreign trade, hence the arithmetic total of domestic investment at any moment is not necessarily maximised because leakages to foreign trade vary. Indeed, in the same chapter Smith talks of the varying consequences of the mix, all related to their different circulation of capital cycles.
Smith's point was limited. Those merchants who did decline to invest capital abroad added arithmetically to changing total, a local maxima, not equilibrium. Those countries that prevented foreign trade would have a lower maxima - because trade was one of the causes of opulence and domestic trade was insufficient to maintain a growing economy.
Example: China from the 15th century.
I suspect Arrow, Hahn, were confusing a local, if unstable, maxima with retrospective projections of seeds of GE, not what Smith was actually writing.
Gavin
Post a Comment
<< Home