Surely Some Confusion?
"The Invisible Hand Still Exists” "Economics Beyond the Textbook"
J. J. Jasper (jjasper@samford.edu) who describes himself
as “a
college student studying finance and economics, with aspirations of making a
beneficial difference in the world by being a part of the large, and often
times evil financial, sector.” Jasper posts HERE a
piece on US military spending, purporting to show that “we aren’t even spending
1% of what we were spending at the end of WWII” when the US fought major wars
against the Japanese (involving multiple “D-Day” scale landings in the Pacific) and a major
war in Europe and North Africa against the Nazi Germany and Fascist Italy) by shifting the measure from US
(inflated) dollars to units of “gold-value”.
Despite my former specialism in defence economics
(example: Duckworth, 1975) I shall not bother to contest this “evidence”. His piece makes no reference to the
existence of otherwise of the “invisible hand” and is therefore in that respect a ‘wild Goose
chase’.
In
an earlier post HERE , “What is a
Business? The Invisible Hand and the Dismal Science at a Personal Level” , Jasper reports:
“It
makes more sense to think of myself as guided by an Invisible Hand to
make decisions. To me, such a hand is not the equivalent of greed, but an
equivalent to wanting what’s best for everyone.
While
taking a microeconomics class in the past year, my professor played a game with
us: we’d have one partner who would decide how much of ten bonus points he’d
like to share with us. If we thought the offer wasn’t good enough, we would
deny the offer. In such a case, no one in the group would receive any bonus
points.
When
it was my turn, my partner offered me zero. When asked whether or not I’d
accept the offer, it dawned on me: the only reason why my partner would make
such an offer is because he had so much need for the bonus points. He was
guided by the Invisible Hand to ask me if he could have all of the bonus
points. He wasn’t being greedy, he was trying to make the grade.
So, I let him have the points. That’s what seemed
logical and efficient. I had an A in the class, I didn’t need the help as much.
In a weird way, the invisible hand had guided us both to make appropriate
decisions, and we met at an equilibrium. Our equilibrium included no bonus for
me- no surplus- but a full surplus for my partner.”
Comment
This is a well-known game in elementary behaviourial economics, known as the “ultimatum game”. It is claimed to show how people
react negatively to what they consider “unfair” demands, by declining the first
one-way offer, even at the cost of getting nothing, and declining offers judged
to be unfair (99% for me, 1% for you), but settlements can take place when
counter-offers approach 30% towards 50% for me, the rest for you. Supposedly, this shows there is a
sense of “fairness” in the outlook of most people, and that overly “greedy”
offers or counter-offers tend to be declined.
Jasper’s response was to accept the other player’s
offer of ‘nothing for Jasper but everything for me’. What he learned from this game I am not sure, but it
certainly wasn’t worth an “A” in behavioural economics, though perhaps it may
be worth an 'A' in Christian theology in a seminary for apprentice Saints. Though be clear, I am not commenting
philosophically here, only in the role of my former required teaching of
neo-classical economic theory – basically that from the rational postulate of neo-classical
economic theory, people ‘rationally’ would accept even an unfair share-out
because ‘rationally’ something is better than nothing.
Jasper seems to operate to the extreme rational postulate
of nothing but maximum spiritual satisfaction for me if the other party gets everything
– compare with the parable of the “labourer is worthy of his hire”, taken to the
extreme – the employer is worthy of everything and the labourers should be
grateful even if they get nothing more if the men hired halfway through the working day get a full day's wages …
2 Comments:
It sounds like Jasper is not a normal human being.
Well, there's a statistical distribution of responses in the ultimatum game. Most people have some self-preservational desire to at least do tit-for-tat. Some people are greedheads and some people will let anyone walk all over them.
neroden
The next question is whether people in such games can learn to co-operate through bargaining. My work over many years with the 'red-blue' game showed that they can (See Kennedy, G. The New Negotiating Edge, 1998 - still in print). See also Adam Smith, Wealth Of Nations, Book 1, chapter 2, on bargaining.
Gavin
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