Adam Smith's Morals
Chief Rabbi Lord Sachs writes “Profits and Prophets” HERE
“There used to be a
belief among superficial readers of Adam Smith, prophet of free trade, that the
market economy did not depend on morality at all: “It is not from the
benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner,
but from their regard to their own interest.” It was the brilliance of the
system that it turned self-interest into the common good by what Smith called,
almost mystically, an “invisible hand.” Morality was not part of the system. It
was unnecessary.
This was a
misreading of Smith, who took morality very seriously indeed and wrote a book
called The Theory of Moral Sentiments.
But it was also a misreading of economics. This was made clear, two
centuries later, by a paradox in Games Theory known as The Prisoner’s Dilemma.
Without going into details, this imagined two people faced with a choice (to
stay silent, confess or accuse the other). The outcome of their decision would
depend on what the other person did, and this could not be known in advance. It
can be shown that if both people act rationally in their own interest, they
will produce an outcome that is bad for both of them. This seems to refute the
basic premise of market economics, that the pursuit of self-interest serves the
common good.
The negative outcome
of the Prisoner’s Dilemma can only be avoided if the two people repeatedly find
themselves in the same situation. Eventually they realise they are harming one
another and themselves. They learn to co-operate, which they can only do if
they trust one another, and they will only do this if the other has earned that
trust by acting honestly and with integrity.
In
other words, the market economy
depends on moral virtues that are not themselves produced by the market, and
may be undermined by the market itself. For if the market is about the
pursuit of profit, and if we can gain at other people’s expense, then the
pursuit of profit will lead, first to shady practices (“your silver has become
dross, your choice wine is diluted with water”), then to the breakdown of
trust, then to the collapse of the market itself.”
Comment
Arguing
with a distinguished religious scholar is not something I do regularly (though
I commented last week on something Lord Sachs wrote) but he strikes me as a
person with which one can discuss differences without rancour.
He
certainly knows more about Jewish theology than I do, given that what little I
do know came from a Presbyterian upbringing that included fair slices of the
Old Testament (I know even less of Islam). Hiowever, Lord Sachs demonstrates
knowledge of economics, including Games Theory, and I am qualified to take
issue with him on that which he demonstrates, in the quotation above.
On
his broad theme that morality and market behaviours are important – perhaps
decisive – I entirely agree with Lord Sachs. I am not so inclined to agree with his interpretations of
Adam Smith in Wealth Of Nations and of more recent ideas such as Prisoner’s
Dilemma. In both cases, with
respect, I suggest he has missed the moral point.
First
take the now famous, and as widely misunderstood, reference of Adam Smith to: “It
is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we
expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.” Humans in no economic or social system
has ever been able to survive on the total benevolence of other people
alone. That is an impossible
aspiration, dare I say, this side of heaven.
Whereas
God, by theological assumption, has all the resources of the world, indeed of the universe, at his disposal
and therefore could be benevolent in the extreme towards all living creatures and
still have resources to spare, no humans have access each day of their lives to
supply everybody’s else’s human needs – somebody has to labour to acquire
whatever resources are needed for her (since the expulsion from the Eden Garden) to
benevolently dispose of a proportion of them to satisfy everybody else’s needs. This is not a particular moral failing of
today; it’s been a fact of life since Genesis (in theological terms).
The
moral issue comes down to how resources are distributed for our dinners. Why do “butchers, brewers, and
bakers” enter into Adam Smith’s equation?
Because, he opined, it was in their self-interest to do so. He advised those searching for the
wherewithal for their dinners to enter into a dialogue (not a one-sided monologue!) with
those whose self-interest brought them into consideration by those searching
for their dinners in their own self-interests.
How
is this dialogue to be conducted?
Smith advised potential diners not to “talk of their own necessities”
but to “address the self-interests of the “butcher, brewer and baker” (and, of
course, vice versa). This point
seems to have escaped the attention of Lord Sachs and all those many others who
draw the same wrong moral conclusion.
Self-interest is not a license to be “selfish” or “greedy”. Far from it. It
is an admonition to serve our own self-interests by mediating with the
self-interests of the “butcher, brewer and baker”. In this, each of us becomes a merchant.
In short (Smith’s
previous paragraph), the nature of each bargain is summed by the expression “Give
me this that I want and you shall have that which you want”. (In modern negotiating, I express this
as “IF you do this for me, THEN I shall do that for you”). The exact contents
of each such bargained dialogue is determined by how each party adjusts his own
self-interest to the other party’s self-interest. That is a very moral proposition. Two egoistic self-interested demanders, uninterested in the
self-interests of each other would never reach an agreement. That was the moral
and pragmatic point of Smith’s parable. Morality was part of the system. It was
absolutely necessary.
On Prisoner’s
Dilemma, I am not sure that Lord Sachs has got this post-War theorem (1950) correctly
formulated, though, of course, it was not an idea considered by Adam Smith 174
years earlier (1776). The two
prisoners were offered a deal to chose separately without consultation among:
both confess (10 years each in jail); one confessed but the other didn’t (the
confessor serves 20 years, the silent one, goes free, there not being enough
evidence to convict him); both stay silent (both go free). What do they each do
individually? It depends on what
they think their partner will do!
Having supervised
real-world negotiators thousands of times playing single-shot and multi-shot
Prisoner’s Dilemma games, I can concur that most pairs were stumped at playing
what was in their best interests as pairs. They either ended up serving 10 years each or one serving 20
years and the other going free.
Very few chose the option that meant they both went free, mainly because
they did not trust the other to choose not to confess. But note that law observance in
society, gained from one or both serving prison terms. However, consider if they was a
trustworthy ‘honour among thieves’, and they both chose to ‘not confess’, society
would not have benefitted and their criminal immorality would have been
rewarded. (I have not the space to
discuss this further in respect of observing many thousands of plays of the ‘Red-Blue’
game – perhaps another time?). But the gist of the moral conclusions of
Prisoner’s Dilemma game illustrates the conflict between personal morality and
the healthy morality of society.
Lastly, I have not
commented on Lord Sachs’s remarks about the attribution of a moral role to the “invisible
hand”: Lord Sach’s writes ”It was the brilliance of the system that it turned
self-interest into the common good by what Smith called, almost mystically, an “invisible
hand.” Regular posts on Lost
Legacy challenge this attribution to Adam Smith, so I shall not repeats them
here. Lord Sachs can cast his eye
over many posts on the subject. Suffice to say, Adam Smith had no such ideas as
expressed by many modern economists and there was nothing “mystical” in his use
of the popular 17-18TH century metaphor.
That there was is an wholly modern invention from Paul Samuelson (1948)
and others.
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